{"id":5397,"date":"2020-09-14T02:45:15","date_gmt":"2020-09-14T02:45:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kuvera.in\/blog\/?p=5397"},"modified":"2022-06-24T15:17:56","modified_gmt":"2022-06-24T09:47:56","slug":"one-trading-rule-to-never-break","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kuvera.in\/blog\/one-trading-rule-to-never-break\/","title":{"rendered":"One trading rule to never break ?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_40 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-light-blue ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" area-label=\"ez-toc-toggle-icon-1\"><label for=\"item-69d7e5c6c1c0a\" aria-label=\"Table of Content\"><span style=\"display: flex;align-items: center;width: 35px;height: 30px;justify-content: center;direction:ltr;\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/label><input  type=\"checkbox\" id=\"item-69d7e5c6c1c0a\"><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-4'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/kuvera.in\/blog\/one-trading-rule-to-never-break\/#Dont_trade\" title=\"Don\u2019t trade.\">Don\u2019t trade.<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-4'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/kuvera.in\/blog\/one-trading-rule-to-never-break\/#Interested_in_how_we_think_about_the_markets\" title=\"Interested in how we think about the markets?\">Interested in how we think about the markets?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<table class=\"mcnCaptionBlock\" border=\"0\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<tbody class=\"mcnCaptionBlockOuter\">\n<tr>\n<td class=\"mcnCaptionBlockInner\" valign=\"top\">\n<table class=\"mcnCaptionTopContent\" border=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"mcnTextContent\" valign=\"top\" width=\"564\">\n<h4><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Dont_trade\"><\/span><strong>Don\u2019t trade.<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h4>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>You read it right. That&#8217;s the one trading rule retail investor should never break.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>If trading is not your day job i.e you do something else for a living, then don\u2019t ever break this rule. I can\u2019t tell you how many times I have heard this story &#8211; a friend of a friend made a killing trading stocks. It is always a friend of a friend. And always has a promise of quick riches.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>But data says otherwise. So let\u2019s look at some evidence on retail traders returns.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"mcnCaptionTopImageContent\" align=\"center\" valign=\"top\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"mcnImage alignnone\" src=\"https:\/\/mcusercontent.com\/9460ade7a36b92bd9a14f2bfd\/images\/15642d84-c9a8-473a-9d94-3d30394a3d57.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"564\" height=\"726\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<table class=\"mcnCaptionBlock\" border=\"0\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<tbody class=\"mcnCaptionBlockOuter\">\n<tr>\n<td class=\"mcnCaptionBlockInner\" valign=\"top\">\n<table class=\"mcnCaptionTopContent\" border=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"mcnTextContent\" valign=\"top\" width=\"564\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>In their landmark paper \u201c<strong>Trading Is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors<\/strong>\u201d, researchers at The Haas School at Berkeley note<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cIndividual investors who hold common stocks directly pay a tremendous performance penalty for active trading. Of 66,465 households with accounts at a large discount broker during 1991 to 1996, those that trade most earn an annual return of 11.4 percent, while the market returns 17.9 percent. The average household earns an annual return of 16.4 percent, tilts its common stock investment toward high-beta, small, value stocks, and turns over 75 percent of its portfolio annually.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>In another\u00a0paper this time looking at retail traders return data from Taiwan titled \u201c<strong>Just How Much Do Individual Investors Lose by Trading?<\/strong>\u201d, researchers note<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cIndividual investor trading results in systematic and economically large losses. Using a complete trading history of all investors in Taiwan, we document that the aggregate portfolio of individuals suffers an annual performance penalty of 3.8 percentage points.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Less comprehensive studies suggest that trading losses and costs for individual investors in the United States are about 2 percentage points a year. Also, retail traders quit trading at an alarming rate. About 75% of retail traders stop trading after 2 years, and as many as 90% stop after 4 years due to trading related account losses.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Over a savings horizon of 20 years, an annual return shortfall of 2% vs the index\u00a0will result in a ~45%\u00a0reduction in potential wealth and can dramatically change your lifestyle choices.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>So if you thought \u2018<em>hey, there is no harm in some fun trading\u2019,\u00a0<\/em>well that\u2019s the cost of fun then. I am sure you can\u00a0find more amusing and far cheaper options easily.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"mcnCaptionTopImageContent\" align=\"center\" valign=\"top\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"mcnImage alignnone\" src=\"https:\/\/mcusercontent.com\/9460ade7a36b92bd9a14f2bfd\/images\/69f87308-4a8c-4c65-b370-af6220e24ff5.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"564\" height=\"590\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/kuvera.in\/explore\/us-stocks\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img class=\"mcnImage\" src=\"https:\/\/mcusercontent.com\/9460ade7a36b92bd9a14f2bfd\/images\/d99214ac-b70b-44ca-aea8-65ab09c29028.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"564\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<table class=\"mcnTextBlock\" border=\"0\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<tbody class=\"mcnTextBlockOuter\">\n<tr>\n<td class=\"mcnTextBlockInner\" valign=\"top\">\n<table class=\"mcnTextContentContainer\" border=\"0\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"mcnTextContent\" valign=\"top\">Finally, the biggest evidence against trading is what I call the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/kuvera.in\/blog\/the-missing-data-on-mutual-fund-star-rating\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">law\u00a0of missing data<\/a>. Let&#8217;s assume that\u00a0retail traders were truly killing it out there, earning outsized gains.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Then it would be reasonable to expect two things to\u00a0happen:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Brokerages or trading platforms would make lifetime portfolio\u00a0returns (XIRR) part of the data they show to traders. After all the easiest way to get you to trade more is to show you that you get higher returns trading than investing in index funds.\u00a0Not a single platform does that &#8211; globally.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>A lot of\u00a0brokerage data would be published showing how well the retail traders have done on their platforms. No such studies exist either. Instead, brokers publish news, trade ideas and use as many behaviour nudges\u00a0as they can\u00a0with the aim of increasing trading churn.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s not that the brokerages haven\u2019t done the math. These are smart businesses. The only reason you don\u2019t see XIRR on your trading platform or see brokerage return studies is that it is not worth showing. It will hurt the brokers business.<br \/>\n\u200b<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<table class=\"mcnBoxedTextBlock\" border=\"0\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<tbody class=\"mcnBoxedTextBlockOuter\">\n<tr>\n<td class=\"mcnBoxedTextBlockInner\" valign=\"top\">\n<table class=\"mcnBoxedTextContentContainer\" border=\"0\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<table class=\"mcnTextContentContainer\" border=\"0\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"mcnTextContent\" valign=\"top\">\n<div><\/div>\n<div>\n<p><em><strong>But what about taxes Gaurav?<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Glad you asked.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>The real-life trading performance data referenced above does not include taxes. In India, 15% tax applies to short term gains and 10% applies to long term gains for equity.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>So that would dock your trading strategy returns an additional 1\u00a0&#8211; 1.5% every year.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>The real return shortfall vs a simple index buy and hold will be closer to 3 &#8211; 5% after including India&#8217;s tax regime into account.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<table class=\"mcnTextBlock\" border=\"0\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<tbody class=\"mcnTextBlockOuter\">\n<tr>\n<td class=\"mcnTextBlockInner\" valign=\"top\">\n<table class=\"mcnTextContentContainer\" border=\"0\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"mcnTextContent\" valign=\"top\">All the data that exists that looks at retail trading returns come to the same conclusion &#8211; the average retail trader loses a lot in returns for the privilege of trading<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>So be a contrarian. Don\u2019t trade.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Happy investing,<br \/>\nGaurav<br \/>\nCEO | kuvera.in |\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rustapharian\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@rustapharian<br \/>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<table class=\"mcnImageCardBlock\" border=\"0\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<tbody class=\"mcnImageCardBlockOuter\">\n<tr>\n<td class=\"mcnImageCardBlockInner\" valign=\"top\">\n<table class=\"mcnImageCardBottomContent\" border=\"0\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"right\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"mcnImageCardBottomImageContent\" align=\"left\" valign=\"top\"><a class=\"\" title=\"Kuvera QuickTakes: Investment decision making amidst volatility\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=kZ84P2X3yFE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img class=\"mcnImage\" src=\"https:\/\/mcusercontent.com\/9460ade7a36b92bd9a14f2bfd\/video_thumbnails_new\/09da5427f2d2915d33994ab484800f07.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"562\" \/><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"mcnTextContent\" valign=\"top\" width=\"546\">\n<div>In this week\u2019s episode of\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=s23EckjSq5w&amp;list=PLDSzQdT9nLmCRFMfrhG61kBY1XcV5wxGb&amp;index=1\">Kuvera QuickTakes<\/a>,\u00a0 Ajay Tyagi (CFA), Fund Manager &amp; Executive Vice President \u2013 UTI AMC and Neelabh Sanyal, COO &amp; Co-Founder \u2013 Kuvera.in\u00a0speak about taking the right decisions in a volatile market environment.<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<table class=\"mcnImageBlock\" border=\"0\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<tbody class=\"mcnImageBlockOuter\">\n<tr>\n<td class=\"mcnImageBlockInner\" valign=\"top\">\n<table class=\"mcnImageContentContainer\" border=\"0\" width=\"100%\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" align=\"left\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"mcnImageContent\" valign=\"top\"><a title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/kuvera.in\/blog\/category\/check-what-happened-in-different-markets-in-one-place\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"mcnImage alignnone\" src=\"https:\/\/mcusercontent.com\/9460ade7a36b92bd9a14f2bfd\/images\/8fb7d53e-fc81-44b8-9a26-6efe6369680b.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"564\" height=\"294\" align=\"center\" \/><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h4><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Interested_in_how_we_think_about_the_markets\"><\/span>Interested in how we think about the markets?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h4>\n<p>Read more:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/kuvera.in\/blog\/category\/zen-and-the-art-of-investing\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Zen And The Art Of Investing<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Watch\/hear on YouTube:<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Kuvera Insights: Vivek Kaul explains the impact of Non Performing Assets (NPA&#039;s) and Bad Loans\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/cWcgNrjwVIU?list=PLDSzQdT9nLmCysU31bg4Ngh7WY2p3UiiI\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Start investing through a platform that brings goal planning and investing to your fingertips. Visit\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.kuvera.in\/\"><strong>kuvera.in<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0to discover\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/kuvera.in\/blog\/direct-plans-better\/\"><strong>Direct Plans<\/strong><\/a> \u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/kuvera.in\/user\/login\"><strong>start investing today.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>#MutualFundSahiHai, #KuveraSabseSahiHai!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Don\u2019t trade. &nbsp; You read it right. That&#8217;s the one trading rule retail investor should never break. &nbsp; If trading is not your day job i.e you do something else for a living, then don\u2019t ever break this rule. I can\u2019t tell you how many times I have heard this story &#8211; a friend of [&#8230;]<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"btn btn-secondary understrap-read-more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/kuvera.in\/blog\/one-trading-rule-to-never-break\/\">Read More&#8230;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5439,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false},"categories":[99,173],"tags":[416,135,414,136,388,314,413,417,415],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>One trading rule to never break ? - Kuvera<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"There is one trading rule that a retail investor should never break to make more money. 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